The Working Group on Crop Husbandry Demand and Supply Projections, Agricultural Inputs and Agricultural Statistics constituted as a part of the formulation of the Twelfth Five Year Plan (2012-17) projected demand and supply for different agricultural crops till 2016-17.
The Working Group estimated demand and supply on the basis of various approaches of supply and demand projection methods. The detailed demand projections and actual production in recent years is given in table below. The relevant information on various aspects, such as prices, production, supply etc., of agricultural commodities is extensively disseminated to farmers through agricultural extension services, Kisan Call Centres, farmers portal and m-Kisan portal under National e-Governance Plan in Agriculture (NeGP-A) to help in their farming/cropping decision which are profitable to them.
Government has taken a number of initiatives to improve quality of statistical inputs used for demand and supply projections through improved survey methodology on Household Consumer Expenditure Surveys of National Sample Survey Office as well as use of modern techniques/ technologies such as remote-sensing, etc., in Crop Cutting Experiments for assessment of yield/production, besides thorough scrutiny of data on production reported by State Governments.
Projected Demand and Supply of Food Commodities during 12th Plan
(Million Tonnes)
Crop/Group of Crops | Projected Demand | Projected Supply |
Actual Production
|
||||
Terminal Year 12th Plan
2016-17 |
Terminal Year 12th Plan 2016-17 |
2011-12 |
2012-13 |
2013-14 |
2014-15 |
2015-16* |
|
Rice | 110 | 98-106 | 105.30 | 105.24 | 106.65 | 105.48 | 103.61 |
Wheat | 89 | 93-104 | 94.88 | 93.51 | 95.85 | 86.53 | 93.82 |
Coarse Cereals |
36 |
42-48 |
42.01 |
40.04 |
43.29 |
42.86 |
38.40 |
Total
Cereals |
235 |
240-251 |
242.20 |
238.79 |
235.79 |
234.87 |
235.83 |
Pulses | 22 | 18-21 | 17.09 | 18.34 | 19.25 | 17.15 | 17.33 |
Foodgrains | 257 | 258-272 | 259.29 | 257.13 | 265.04 | 252.02 | 253.16 |
Oilseeds | 59 | 33-41 | 29.80 | 30.94 | 32.74 | 27.51 | 26.34 |
Sugarcane | 279 | 365-411 | 361.04 | 341.2 | 352.14 | 362.33 | 346.38 |
Vegetables | 161 | NA | 156.33 | 162.19 | 162.90 | 169.48 | 168.51** |
Fruits | 97 | NA | 76.42 | 81.29 | 88.97 | 86.60 | 89.02** |
*2nd Advance Estimates
** 1st Estimates