The Working Group on Crop Husbandry Demand and Supply Projections, Agricultural Inputs and Agricultural Statistics constituted as a part of the formulation of the Twelfth Five Year Plan (2012-17) projected demand and supply for different agricultural crops till 2016-17.

The Working Group estimated demand and supply on the basis of various approaches of supply and demand projection methods. The detailed demand projections and actual production in recent years is given in table below. The relevant information on various aspects, such as prices, production, supply etc., of agricultural commodities is extensively disseminated to farmers through agricultural extension  services,  Kisan  Call Centres, farmers   portal   and  m-Kisan   portal   under National e-Governance Plan in Agriculture (NeGP-A) to help in their farming/cropping decision which are profitable to them.

Government has taken a number of initiatives to improve quality of statistical inputs used for demand and supply projections through improved survey methodology on Household Consumer Expenditure Surveys of National Sample Survey Office as well as use of modern techniques/ technologies such as remote-sensing, etc., in Crop Cutting Experiments for assessment of yield/production, besides thorough scrutiny of data on production reported by State Governments.

Projected Demand and Supply of Food Commodities during 12^th Plan

(Million Tonnes)

Crop/Group of Crops	Projected Demand	Projected Supply	Actual Production
	Terminal Year 12th Plan 2016-17	Terminal Year 12th Plan 2016-17	2011-12	2012-13	2013-14	2014-15	2015-16*
Rice	110	98-106	105.30	105.24	106.65	105.48	103.61
Wheat	89	93-104	94.88	93.51	95.85	86.53	93.82
Coarse Cereals	36	42-48	42.01	40.04	43.29	42.86	38.40
Total Cereals	235	240-251	242.20	238.79	235.79	234.87	235.83
Pulses	22	18-21	17.09	18.34	19.25	17.15	17.33
Foodgrains	257	258-272	259.29	257.13	265.04	252.02	253.16
Oilseeds	59	33-41	29.80	30.94	32.74	27.51	26.34
Sugarcane	279	365-411	361.04	341.2	352.14	362.33	346.38
Vegetables	161	NA	156.33	162.19	162.90	169.48	168.51**
Fruits	97	NA	76.42	81.29	88.97	86.60	89.02**

 

*2^nd Advance Estimates

** 1^st Estimates